- The Red Sox are -115 favorites vs the Angels
- Red Sox vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Angels TV Channel: NESN | BSW | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (-115) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-105) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Red Sox are 6-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 4-4 ATS.
Red Sox vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Chase Silseth 0-0, 8.11 ERA
Red Sox vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -105 | -115 |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -115 | -105 |
Red Sox vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- David Hamilton has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+7.15 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+7.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 62% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 away games (+3.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.43 Units / 76% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 7-2 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 41.98% ROI).
- 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 30.7% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -15.08% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 6.6% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -5.65% ROI).
- 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 27.81% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 18.39% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -30.34% ROI
Angels vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Devers | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Duran | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Casas | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Wong | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Rafaela | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
Angels vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Silseth | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Houck | 6.5 +130 | 6.5 -165 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 82% (9/11) against Tanner Houck this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has a strikeout rate of 48% (10 SO in 21 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (12/81) versus Tanner Houck with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has a strike rate of 76% (63/83) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 56% (9/16) against Chase Silseth with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (14/37) against Chase Silseth this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Chase Silseth has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to August 26th, 2023 — the longest active streak is 8.
Chase Silseth has allowed a BABIP of .500 this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .293 — third Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox were just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Red Sox are just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Red Sox were just 1-74 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Red Sox were just 35-49 (.417) after a loss in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels were just 30-23 (.566) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels were just 62-7 (.899) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Angels are just 15-23 (.395) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Angels are just 19-91 (.173) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Red Sox are batting .180 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Red Sox are batting .296 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .062 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Angels hitters are slugging just .062 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .268 (955 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Angels are batting just .220 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 22 of 326 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 3 of 82 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 664 of 6,603 batters (10%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 158 of 1,504 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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