- The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Athletics
- Red Sox / Athletics TV Channel: NSC+ | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (-145) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+120) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Red Sox are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 1-3 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +120 | O 8 -105 | -145 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -145 | U 8 -115 | +120 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s game with 58.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- James Paxton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 23 games at home (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 away games (+3.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.43 Units / 76% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 4-0 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 57.55% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 7.32% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -50.56% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 45.98% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 1-3 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -57.5% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -48.75% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 (56 Total Bases / 94 ABs) on fastballs away since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .379 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (75/125) against Tanner Houck with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (12/81) versus Tanner Houck with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (51/81) against Tanner Houck with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Boyle has limited playing time.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Red Sox were 64-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Red Sox were 22-14 (.611) after a home win in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Red Sox were just 35-49 (.417) after a loss in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Red Sox are just 3-141 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 67-148 (.310) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Athletics are just 87-62 (.580) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Athletics were just 29-82 (.261) after a loss in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,137 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (5,907 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Athletics are batting just .226 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .627 (5,907 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 2,027 times since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .265 against Red Sox pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.94 (1125.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 22% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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