- The Red Sox are -155 favorites vs the Athletics
- Red Sox vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Red Sox / Athletics TV Channel: NSCA | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (-155) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+130) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Red Sox are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 1-4 ATS.
Red Sox vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 1-0, 3.60 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Alex Wood 0-1, 16.21 ERA
Red Sox vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -105 | -155 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -115 | +130 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 away games (+3.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.43 Units / 76% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 5-0 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 63.52% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 23.21% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -22.52% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 16.51% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 1-4 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -64.83% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -59% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -62.16% ROI
Athletics vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Noda | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Rooker | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Butler | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Gelof | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -1600 |
| D. Davis | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 -2500 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gelof | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| D. Davis | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Noda | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Rooker | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Butler | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Athletics vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rooker | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gelof | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| D. Davis | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Butler | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Noda | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bello | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Wood | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (147/238) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (109/173) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Brayan Bello had a strike rate of just 54% (266/497) on sliders in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 15% (39/255) against Brayan Bello in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 17% (53/310) against Alex Wood in the 2023 season — tied for lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 17% (53/310) against Alex Wood in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.
Opponents batted .220 (45-for-205) against Alex Wood with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .156 — first Percentile.
Alex Wood had a strikeout rate of just 17% (74/429) in the 2023 season — 13th lowest among among 206 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Red Sox are just 12-20 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Red Sox were just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Red Sox were 22-20 (.524) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Red Sox are just 34-60 (.358) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Athletics were just 29-82 (.261) after a loss in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 55-111 (.329) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Athletics are just 32-72 (.305) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Red Sox hitters have a groundball batting average of .263 against the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .642 (8,756 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (5,932 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Athletics are batting just .211 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (11,948 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox have won 43% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .265 against Red Sox pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 2,029 times since the 2022 season — 5th most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.94 (1125.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 5.48 (1419.2 IP) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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