- The Red Sox are -165 favorites vs the Athletics
- Red Sox vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Red Sox / Athletics TV Channel: NSCA | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (-165) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+140) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Red Sox are 4-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 2-4 ATS.
Red Sox vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 0-1, 1.50 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Ross Stripling 0-1, 7.72 ERA
Red Sox vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -110 | -165 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -120 | U 8 -110 | +140 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+6.40 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+5.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 away games (+3.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.43 Units / 76% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 5-1 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 45.25% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 32.62% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -3.82% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -4.51% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 2-4 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -43.53% ROI).
- 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -65.83% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 60% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -68.89% ROI
Athletics vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Devers | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Butler | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Yoshida | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Rafaela | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Allen | 0.5 +2200 | 0.5 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pivetta | 7.5 -160 | 7.5 +125 |
| Stripling | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 50% (8/16) against Nick Pivetta this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 48% (10 SO in 21 PAs) this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .143 (21 PA’s) this season — tied for 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: .276 — 96th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta’s has 10 strikeouts and no walks this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among in MLB; League Avg: 4.1 — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ross Stripling has thrown elevated pitches 61% of the time (40/66) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Ross Stripling has thrown elevated sliders47% of the time (15/32) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .381 (177 Total Bases / 465 ABs) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .268 — first Percentile.
Ross Stripling has thrown elevated pitches 67% of the time (16/24) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Red Sox were 64-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Red Sox were just 16-70 (.186) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Red Sox were just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Red Sox are just 38-48 (.442) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 87-62 (.580) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Athletics were just 29-82 (.261) after a loss in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 32-73 (.302) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Red Sox hitters have a groundball batting average of .265 against the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
The Red Sox are batting .180 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Athletics are batting just .212 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .647 (12,047 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (12,047 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 56% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 10 of 212 batters (5%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 1 of 56 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 12 of 56 batters (21%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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