- The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Braves
- Red Sox vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Red Sox / Braves TV Channel: FDSO | FDSE | NESN | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (+100) on Sunday, June 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Red Sox are 28-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 25-31 ATS.
Red Sox vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 4-4, 2.06 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 2-2, 4.57 ERA
Red Sox vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -110 | -120 |
| Braves | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -110 | +100 |
Red Sox vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+6.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+19.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+9.05 Units / 181% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 19 away games (+11.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 43% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+13.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.32 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.45 Units / 44% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 29-30 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.27% ROI).
- 28-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.81 Units / -15.79% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.22 Units / -12.39% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 4.04% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 25-31 against the Run Line (-5.12 Units / -7.77% ROI).
- 27-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.23 Units / -17.85% ROI
- 21-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.3 Units / -21.03% ROI
- 31-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +8 Units / 12.86% ROI
Braves vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Abraham Toro (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Abraham Toro (BOS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder (ATL) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Garrett Crochet (BOS) | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -120 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 37% (143 SO in 384 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 33% (298 SO in 894 PAs) since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (347/770) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 39% (73 SO in 186 PAs) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has thrown his fastball in the zone just 47% (167/357) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 58% — first Percentile.
Bryce Elder has spotted his fastball inside in the zone just 38% (44/116) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Elder has allowed a slugging percentage of .488 (61 Total Bases / 125 ABs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: .312 — first Percentile.
Bryce Elder has spotted his fastball inside in the zone just 41% (351/858) of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 0 Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox are just 4-166 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox were just 38-43 (.469) at home in the 2024 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Red Sox are just 15-150 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Braves are 77-63 (.550) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Red Sox (ninth best runs scored) today.
The Braves are just 10-20 (.333) on the road this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .439.
The Braves are 29-117 (.199) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Braves are 173-13 (.930) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters slugged .509 at home in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have 351 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 4th most in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 42% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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