- The Braves are -160 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Braves Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Braves TV Channel: ATV
The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Red Sox are 27-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 24-30 ATS.
Red Sox vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito 1-1, 5.34 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 3-3, 3.69 ERA
Red Sox vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -155 | O 9.5 -115 | +135 |
| Braves | -1.5 +130 | U 9.5 -105 | -160 |
Red Sox vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+14.00 Units / 233% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Sogard has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.55 Units / 60% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 25 games (+22.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 away games (+11.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+7.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.43 Units / 27% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+11.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.57 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+8.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.65 Units / 58% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 28-29 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 0.69% ROI).
- 27-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.26 Units / -16.75% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.92 Units / -9.24% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 1.02% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 24-30 against the Run Line (-5.22 Units / -8.17% ROI).
- 26-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.58 Units / -17.82% ROI
- 21-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -18.05% ROI
- 29-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 9.98% ROI
Braves vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Braves vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Lucas Giolito (BOS) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .702 (261 Total Bases / 372 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .566 — second Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 (171 Total Bases / 287 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .433 — first Percentile.
Lucas Giolito allowed a slugging percentage of .527 (89 Total Bases / 169 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (26/154) against Lucas Giolito when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .118 (10-for-85) against Grant Holmes when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (10-for-85) against Grant Holmes when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .706 (12 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against Grant Holmes with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Grant Holmes has allowed an OBP of just .194 (93 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Red Sox are just 6-79 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Red Sox are just 12-18 (.400) after a loss this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Braves were just 7-42 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Braves are 105-87 (.547) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Braves are 23-16 (.590) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 23-131 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 25% of it’s PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Red Sox vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
