- The Guardians are -140 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Red Sox / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NES+
The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-140) on Wednesday, April 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Red Sox are 13-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 15-6 ATS.
Red Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 0-1, 4.50 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 1-1, 3.44 ERA
Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -115 | -140 |
Red Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.53 Units / 24% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 72 games at home (+20.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 14-10 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 15-6 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 16-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Guardians vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brayan Rocchio (CLE) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Guardians vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 4% (1/22) against Cooper Criswell over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 3rd lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .761 (102 Total Bases / 134 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .479 (81-for-169) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .337 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .410 (55-for-134) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .876 (148 Total Bases / 169 ABs) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .597 — first Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Red Sox are just 3-148 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox are just 14-21 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 35-38 (.479) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Red Sox are just 35-65 (.350) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Guardians are 35-119 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are 24-126 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians are just 9-16 (.360) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 12-66 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 74 strikeouts in 244 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .793 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .559.
Red Sox hitters have a groundball batting average of .262 against the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,715 strikeouts in 9,431 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .364 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Guardians hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
The Red Sox have allowed 2.29 runs per game (32/14) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 1.65 (125.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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