- The Orioles are -160 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Red Sox / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NESN | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Red Sox are 27-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 27-24 ATS.
Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 2-1, 2.89 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 4-2, 3.13 ERA
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -120 | +135 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +120 | U 9 +100 | -160 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 14 away games (+16.85 Units / 120% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 18 games at home (+28.80 Units / 160% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 22 games at home (+16.80 Units / 76% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+16.80 Units / 76% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.60 Units / 60% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 away games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 away games (+6.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 away games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games (+6.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+3.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 24-29 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -12.85% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -2.06% ROI
- 19-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.45 Units / -25% ROI
- 31-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.1 Units / 17.16% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 27-24 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 11.23% ROI).
- 33-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 9.59% ROI
- 25-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 7.95% ROI
- 19-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -15.82% ROI
Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vaughn Grissom (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Dominic Smith (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin (BAL) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Cooper Criswell (BOS) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -155 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cooper Criswell has struck out just 18% (25/138) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 10th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (105/528) against Cooper Criswell since last season — 11th lowest among among 191 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has allowed an OPS of .626 (169 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .489 — sixth Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has struck out just 18% (25/138) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — tied for 12th lowest among among 101 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (4/54) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .282 (53 Total Bases / 188 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (17/120) against Cole Irvin this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (28/145) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Red Sox are just 1-96 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Red Sox are 81-7 (.920) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Red Sox are just 3-162 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 44-56 (.440) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 45-24 (.652) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 27-30 (.474) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 147 strikeouts in 509 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .257 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .592 (595 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .487 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .821 (591 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .334 (2,292 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Orioles hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 29 of 476 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 139 of 1,962 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Red Sox pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 229 of 3,358 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.06 (83.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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