The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-185) on Monday, March 25, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Red Sox are 10-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 10-13 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +155 |
| Rangers | -185 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 away games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+2.95 Units / 98% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.70 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.53 Units / 24% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Red Sox are 14-9 against the Run Line (-0.48 Units / 17.47% ROI).
- 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -5.98% ROI
- 7-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -37.61% ROI
- 15-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.18 Units / 28.16% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 10-13 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -11.44% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -10.61% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -6.83% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.22% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Whitlock has not allowed a home run in any of the last 15.2 innings he’s appeared — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 51.0.
Garrett Whitlock’s lowest spin rate on fastballs since the 2022 season is 1832.0 RPM — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1212.5
Garrett Whitlock threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 75% (172/229) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock had a strike rate of 68% (815/1,195) in the 2023 season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox were 59-4 (.937) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Red Sox were just 17-25 (.405) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Red Sox were just 1-72 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Red Sox are just 12-20 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers are just 75-51 (.595) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Red Sox batted .279 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Red Sox hitters slugged .266 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .788 (1,624 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .567 (3,336 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .265 against Red Sox pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Red Sox pitchers had a strikeout rate of 22% when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Red Sox pitchers threw over to first base 120 times in the 2023 season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
Opponents had a swing rate of 49% against the Red Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 134 times since the 2022 season — 5th most in MLB.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
- David Hamilton (Boston Red Sox): Thumb, Out
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, Out
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, Out
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, Out
- Dinelson Lamet (Boston Red Sox): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Connor Wong (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Jarren Duran (Boston Red Sox): Toe, Out
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Lat, Out
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