- The Red Sox are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Red Sox vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Rangers TV Channel: KDAF | NESN | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Friday, March 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX, USA.
This season, the Red Sox are 2-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 1-1 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 +105 | -115 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -125 | -105 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tanner Houck has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+4.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tanner Houck has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+4.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Tanner Houck has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tanner Houck has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 3 games (+3.30 Units / 99% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+12.50 Units / 208% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+2.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 60 away games (+8.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 away games (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 78 away games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+0.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games at home (+14.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games at home (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+6.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 3-0 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 104.35% ROI).
- 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 50.63% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 25.71% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -32.26% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 1-1 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -22.64% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -31.76% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Rangers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Rangers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck allowed a slugging percentage of just .251 (63 Total Bases / 251 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 98th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (96/164) against Tanner Houck when he’s behind in the count since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Houck threw off-speed pitches 76% of the time (1,097/1,452) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a groundball rate of 59% (57/97) against Tanner Houck when he was behind in the count in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Leiter has limited playing time.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2024 They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox are just 34-139 (.197) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Red Sox are just 3-142 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 15-129 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in 2024 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2024 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Rangers are just 13-110 (.106) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rangers are just 9-122 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Red Sox hitters have 1,244 strikeouts in 4,941 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters slugged .266 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,407/18,388 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .790 (4,682 PA’s) against RHP in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Rangers hitters slugged .456 against RHP in 2023 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 203 of 2,891 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers had an ERA of 5.18 (689.2 IP) on the road in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Rangers pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Rangers have won 45% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
More MLB Reading:
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