Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 30

(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
  • The Rangers are -190 favorites vs the Red Sox
  • Red Sox vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Red Sox / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | NESN

The Boston Red Sox (+145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-180) on Sunday, March 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Red Sox are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 1-2 ATS.

Red Sox vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Richard Fitts 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox+1.5 -155O 8 -110+145
Rangers -1.5 +125U 8 -110-180

Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+10.50 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+4.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 60 away games (+8.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 away games (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 78 away games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+0.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games at home (+14.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games at home (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+6.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 35% ROI).

  • 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -34.29% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -37.65% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 31.25% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Rangers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Joc Pederson (TEX) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Rangers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Alex Bregman (BOS) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Jarren Duran (BOS) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -220 0.5 +170

Rangers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235

Rangers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Richard Fitts (BOS) 3.5 +110 3.5 -145

Richard Fitts has not allowed a home run in any of the last 20.2 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 90.0.

Richard Fitts has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to September 8th, 2024 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jacob deGrom has not allowed a walk in his last 108 PAs against a RHH dating back to September 24th, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Red Sox are just 3-144 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Red Sox are just 34-141 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Rangers are 96-69 (.582) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Rangers are just 9-122 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Rangers were just 10-59 (.145) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Red Sox hitters have 509 strikeouts in 1,834 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Red Sox hitters have drawn 4 walks in 18 PA’s (22%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .000 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.

Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .269 (3,336 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Rangers are batting .538 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 93 of 1,457 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.18 (689.2 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.