- The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (+110) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-130) on Monday, April 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Red Sox are 8-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 5-10 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 0-1, 4.50 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 1-0, 1.39 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -102 | +110 |
| Rays | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -118 | -130 |
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+19.75 Units / 71% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+17.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+10.30 Units / 172% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 17 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 81 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 97 of their last 162 games (+27.96 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 89 of their last 162 games (+17.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 93 of their last 162 games (+16.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 8-9 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 1.22% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -17.97% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -37.03% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 29.37% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 5-10 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -35.26% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -13.02% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -16.42% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 10.46% ROI
Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 56% (293/524) against Tanner Houck in the 2024 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OBP of .472 (36 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (315/573) against Tanner Houck since last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 92nd Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of .845 (33 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .466 — first Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (27-for-162) against Shane Baz since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Shane Baz has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (22/51) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Baz allowed a BABIP of .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 99th Percentile.
Shane Baz has a strikeout rate of 61% (16 SO in 26 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Red Sox are just 5-65 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Red Sox are 52-11 (.825) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .752.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Rays are 30-120 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Rays are 87-22 (.798) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Rays are 60-6 (.896) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have 546 strikeouts in 1,966 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have 6 extra-base hits out of 32 total hits (just 19%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays are batting just .216 with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 36 of 544 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 15% of batters they faced (80/544 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rays pitchers have walked 5 of 133 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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