- The Red Sox are -102 favorites vs the Tigers
- Red Sox vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Tigers TV Channel: FDDT | NESN | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Monday, May 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Red Sox are 21-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 25-15 ATS.
Red Sox vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 0-2, 6.10 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jackson Jobe 2-0, 4.88 ERA
Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +154 | O 8.5 -110 | -110 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -110 | -110 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tanner Houck has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Connor Wong has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games (+4.75 Units / 116% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+2.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
Tigers Best Bets Today:
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 20-21 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 1.6% ROI).
- 21-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -10.84% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -8.61% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 1.11% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 25-15 against the Run Line (+8.55 Units / 16.6% ROI).
- 26-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.4 Units / 17.9% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 1.14% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -8.87% ROI
Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Jobe (DET) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck has allowed a .485 SLG this season — sixth worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .320 last season — fourth best among qualified SPs– 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (29-for-87) against Tanner Houck’s non-fastballs this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .348 (31-for-89) against Tanner Houck this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OBP of .322 (87 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jackson Jobe has a in-zone of 40% (38/95) on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Jackson Jobe has a strike rate of just 56% (99/178) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .421 (8-for-19) against Jackson Jobe this month (1 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (23/134) against Jackson Jobe this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Red Sox are 61-12 (.836) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Red Sox are just 5-71 (.066) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Red Sox are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 15-68 (.181) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Tigers are 21-66 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 29% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .659 (1,395 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (3,253 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .674 (3,060 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Tigers have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
More MLB Reading:
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