- The Red Sox are -235 favorites vs the White Sox
- Red Sox vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Red Sox / White Sox TV Channel: NESN | CHS+
The Boston Red Sox (-250) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+200) on Sunday, April 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Red Sox are 7-9 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 9-5 ATS.
Red Sox vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 1-1, 1.45 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 0-0, 1.54 ERA
Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -135 | O 7 -115 | -250 |
| White Sox | +1.5 +115 | U 7 -105 | +200 |
Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 65.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+17.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+10.70 Units / 178% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+7.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 8% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games at home (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 7-9 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -3.92% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -24.82% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -33.05% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 25.56% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 9-5 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 18.97% ROI).
- 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -30.71% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -10.23% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.6% ROI
White Sox vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
White Sox vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet (BOS) | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -105 |
| Shane Smith (CWS) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 37% (10 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (48/93) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — 3rd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet had a strikeout rate of 35% (209/595) in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .105 (4-for-38) against Shane Smith in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (8/15) against Shane Smith on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Smith has allowed a slugging percentage of just .105 (4 Total Bases / 38 ABs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .387 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .105 (4-for-38) against Shane Smith this month (2 games) — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 97th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Red Sox were just 38-43 (.469) at home in the 2024 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Red Sox are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .031.
The Red Sox are 52-11 (.825) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .752.
The Red Sox are just 20-77 (.206) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox were just 40-103 (.280) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The White Sox are just 36-24 (.600) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 544 strikeouts in 1,963 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.37 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
The Red Sox batted .279 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (9,350 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .643 (9,350 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The White Sox had a winning percentage of just 28% at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The White Sox batted just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 4% of the time last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 10% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
More MLB Reading:
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