- The Red Sox are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
- Red Sox vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / White Sox TV Channel: NESN | NSCH
The Boston Red Sox (-250) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+200) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Red Sox are 31-31 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 26-36 ATS.
Red Sox vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 5-5, 1.84 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jake Woodford 0-1, 6.24 ERA
Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -2.5 +110 | O 8.5 +100 | -250 |
| White Sox | +2.5 -135 | U 8.5 -120 | +200 |
Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 75.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+19.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 20 games (+14.45 Units / 72% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+12.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+6.40 Units / 160% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games (+21.35 Units / 85% ROI)
- Corey Julks has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corey Julks has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.65 Units / 79% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 62 games (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 away games (+6.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 away games (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 28-34 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -12.45% ROI).
- 31-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -3.45% ROI
- 25-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -15.85% ROI
- 33-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 8.48% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 26-36 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -19.54% ROI).
- 15-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.95 Units / -41.89% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -4.43% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -3.68% ROI
White Sox vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Julks (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nicky Lopez (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Dominic Smith (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
White Sox vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Dominic Smith (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Woodford (CWS) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .251 (73 Total Bases / 291 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .239 (39 Total Bases / 163 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 96th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .314 (166 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .484 — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .280 (60 Total Bases / 214 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .442 — 98th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (127/763) against Jake Woodford since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .283 (109-for-385) against Jake Woodford since the 2022 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.
Jake Woodford has struck out just 11% (18/163) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 13% (57 SO in 430 PAs) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Red Sox are just 1-100 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Red Sox are just 16-154 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Red Sox are just 3-166 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 50-65 (.435) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The White Sox are just 9-26 (.257) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The White Sox are just 29-27 (.518) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.
The White Sox are just 41-102 (.287) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The White Sox are just 56-23 (.709) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 179 strikeouts in 618 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .258 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .710 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .567.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 16% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,899 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,202 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (4,318 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 158 of 2,296 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 35 of 556 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.4 MPH (1,528 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 56 of 482 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The White Sox have won just 9% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,431 of 14,812 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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