- The Yankees are -220 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: ESPN
The Boston Red Sox (+180) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-220) on Sunday, June 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Red Sox are 31-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 30-33 ATS.
Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Hunter Dobbins 2-1, 4.13 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 8-3, 2.49 ERA
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -118 | O 8 -115 | +180 |
| Yankees | -1.5 -102 | U 8 -105 | -220 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 64.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+20.50 Units / 228% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Walks Over in his last 4 games (+7.20 Units / 180% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+13.70 Units / 137% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+10.00 Units / 125% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.55 Units / 47% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 22 away games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+6.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 33 away games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+4.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.37 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 63 games (+7.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 32-33 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 1.35% ROI).
- 31-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.81 Units / -15.55% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.42 Units / -8.82% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.14% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 30-33 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -4.16% ROI).
- 39-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 5.08% ROI
- 27-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -14.13% ROI
- 34-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.32 Units / 6.17% ROI
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Dobbins (BOS) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -135 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .600 (12-for-20) against Hunter Dobbins on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .342 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (15-for-35) against Hunter Dobbins’ elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 0 Percentile.
Hunter Dobbins has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.200 (24 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .590 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .338 (25-for-74) against Hunter Dobbins when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .245 — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a SLG of just .281 this season — tied for third best among qualified SPs– 97th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .435 last season — ninth worst among qualified SPs– 15th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a SLG of just .267 vs right-handed batters this season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 95th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .454 vs right-handed batters last season — sixth worst among qualified SPs– 10th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (47-for-281) against Carlos Rodon this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon had an ERA of 6.48 (50.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.56 — first Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 16-152 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are just 7-81 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 53-29 (.646) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 50-31 (.617) on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Red Sox are batting .374 in hitter’s counts since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,278 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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