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The Cincinnati Reds () visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves () on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Reds are 48-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 44-55 ATS.
Reds vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 3-5, 3.88 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.71 ERA
Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | O | ||
| Braves | U |
Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rece Hinds has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+14.20 Units / 158% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+13.50 Units / 84% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+12.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+19.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+16.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+16.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games (+15.70 Units / 52% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+11.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 away games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+8.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 85 games (+30.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+10.89 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 56-45 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 4.8% ROI).
- 48-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -5.38% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -11.85% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 2.04% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-55 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -10.3% ROI).
- 54-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -9.31% ROI
- 34-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.4 Units / -29.02% ROI
- 60-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.45 Units / 20.46% ROI
Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nacho Alvarez (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +100 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez has walked 9 of 296 batters (3%) this season — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of .811 (30 Total Bases / 37 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .356 (32-for-90) against Nick Martinez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .270 — fifth Percentile.
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 54% of the time (215/402) this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
20 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .216 (32 Total Bases / 148 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .485 (32-for-66) against Chris Sale on low fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (56 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds are just 1-10 (.091) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 2-12 (.143) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 28-33 (.459) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 9-21 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are 50-59 (.459) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 52-26 (.667) after a home loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .110 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters are slugging just .147 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Reds hitters have 49 extra-base hits out of 89 total hits (55%) against RHP this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Reds hitters have 215 extra-base hits out of 515 total hits (42%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (2,390 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Braves hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .794 (9,927 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Braves are batting .308 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 347 of 3,761 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .290 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
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