- The Reds are -115 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Reds vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Cardinals TV Channel: BSOH | BSMW
The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Reds are 39-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 41-41 ATS.
Reds vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 5-3, 3.79 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 3-3, 3.83 ERA
Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -110 | -115 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -110 | -105 |
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games (+12.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 away games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+5.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 47-36 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 7.37% ROI).
- 39-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -5.48% ROI
- 36-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -14.19% ROI
- 44-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 4.5% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 41-41 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.91% ROI).
- 42-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -5.87% ROI
- 35-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -12.72% ROI
- 42-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 4.04% ROI
Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn (STL) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .108 (4-for-37) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has walked 9 of 45 batters (20%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Hunter Greene has walked 20 of 185 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (53/144) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 63% of the time (265/422) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has located his fastball away 55% of the time (486/880) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has a strike rate of just 60% (449/750) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 10th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of .814 (432 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — seventh Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 64-45 (.587) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 26-30 (.464) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 3-20 (.130) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Cardinals are just 6-109 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are just 20-32 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
The Cardinals are 32-15 (.681) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Reds hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Reds are batting just .130 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Reds are batting just .177 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .616 (909 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .335 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Cardinals are batting just .215 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (909 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers this season is 388.6 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.0
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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