- The Giants are -130 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Giants TV Channel: BSOH | NSBA | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Reds are 17-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 19-22 ATS.
Reds vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 2-3, 3.56 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 3-1, 3.23 ERA
Reds vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -120 | +110 |
| Giants | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 +100 | -130 |
Reds vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 30 games (+19.70 Units / 66% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+17.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+14.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 games (+16.00 Units / 123% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+9.10 Units / 130% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 65 away games (+23.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.81 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 20-19 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.88% ROI).
- 17-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -16.38% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -7.64% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -2.23% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 19-22 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -8.93% ROI).
- 18-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -19.18% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -10.76% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 2.08% ROI
Giants vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Giants vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Giants vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Harrison (SF) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Frankie Montas (CIN) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (94/374) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 61% of Frankie Montas’ fastballs (146/240) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 56% (346/619) against Frankie Montas when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has thrown his fastball for a strike 75% (180/240) of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 99th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Harrison has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (137/197) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (71/146) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (98/197) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has allowed a slugging percentage of .470 (31 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — 10th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are just 23-27 (.460) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 44-19 (.698) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Reds are just 56-42 (.571) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 44-49 (.473) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are just 30-50 (.375) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Giants are just 38-66 (.365) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Giants are 81-1 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are 146-3 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .182 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Reds are batting just .123 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .285 (941 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Reds hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .471 (4,093 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Giants hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Giants hitters are slugging just .239 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Giants hitters are slugging just .397 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 197 of 3,233 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Reds vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
