- The Rangers are -175 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Reds / Rangers TV Channel: BSOH | MLBN | BSWX
The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-175) on Friday, April 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Reds are 14-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 13-13 ATS.
Reds vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 3-1, 5.24 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 1-2, 3.38 ERA
Reds vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -140 | O 9 -120 | +145 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +115 | U 9 +100 | -175 |
Reds vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 games (+21.40 Units / 134% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 away games (+12.30 Units / 154% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 93% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+16.10 Units / 115% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 84 of their last 154 games (+20.88 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 89 of their last 154 games (+15.28 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 13-12 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 1.92% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 5.71% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 9.96% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -20.4% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 13-13 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -6.38% ROI).
- 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -6.86% ROI
- 11-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -15.44% ROI
- 14-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 6.27% ROI
Rangers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Evan Carter (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rangers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (77/229) against Graham Ashcraft on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has thrown fastballs 66% of the time (1,395/2,118) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (51/152) against Graham Ashcraft on non-fastballs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 46% — third Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (56/379) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of .356 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 14th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 34% (30/88) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (77/244) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Reds are just 43-47 (.478) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Reds are just 43-19 (.694) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Reds are just 55-40 (.579) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are 15-74 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rangers are just 2-151 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 2-63 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are 35-18 (.660) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Rangers are just 6-138 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .193 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Reds are batting just .119 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .165.
The Reds are 32-15 (.681) against the run line (22.8% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
Reds hitters have 27 extra-base hits out of 53 total hits (51%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .485 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rangers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters have drawn 25 walks in 395 PA’s (6%) versus relief pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rangers hitters have just 142 strikeouts in 766 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .329 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .381 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 59 of 494 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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