- The Reds are -125 favorites vs the Rockies
- Reds vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Reds / Rockies TV Channel: BSOH | ROTV | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (-125) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+105) on Wednesday, June 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Reds are 28-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 31-29 ATS.
Reds vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 4-3, 4.81 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 2-7, 5.03 ERA
Reds vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +120 | O 11.5 -110 | -125 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -145 | U 11.5 -110 | +105 |
Reds vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 47 games (+17.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+21.50 Units / 126% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+10.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 35-26 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 7.97% ROI).
- 28-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -7.39% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -8.29% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -1.42% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 31-29 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -4.67% ROI).
- 21-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -7.52% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -4.17% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -4.38% ROI
Rockies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jacob Stallings (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rockies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jake Fraley (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Rockies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft (CIN) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Dakota Hudson (COL) | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.29 (100.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .289 (33-for-114) against Graham Ashcraft this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 12th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (147/263) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has walked 10 of 99 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has allowed an OBP of .399 (343 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: .289 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (39/235) against Dakota Hudson this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has allowed an OBP of .431 (174 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .293 — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has walked 42 of 347 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are just 50-52 (.490) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Reds are just 24-28 (.462) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 46-19 (.708) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Reds are 32-15 (.681) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 20-18 (.526) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rockies are just 57-26 (.687) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 43-29 (.597) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 12-43 (.218) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .134 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Reds are batting just .131 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters are slugging just .151 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Reds are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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