Rockies vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 14

(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Blue Jays are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Blue Jays TV Channel: ROTV | RSN | TVA

The Colorado Rockies (+190) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-250) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Rockies are 4-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 7-7 ATS.

Rockies vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-2, 16.05 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 2-0, 1.50 ERA

Rockies vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +100O 8.5 -110+190
Blue Jays -1.5 -120U 8.5 -110-250

Rockies vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 70.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 12 away games (+12.10 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Chris Bassitt has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 away games (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 7-7 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -8.33% ROI).

  • 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -25.62% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 22.44% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -30.92% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 7-7 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -10.1% ROI).

  • 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -17.08% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -3.91% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -4.84% ROI

Blue Jays vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Blue Jays vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Blue Jays vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Blue Jays vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Freeland (COL) 2.5 -145 2.5 +110
Jose Berrios (TOR) 6.5 +100 6.5 -130

Kyle Freeland has an ERA of 16.03 (10.2 IP)this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 4.12 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .648 (118 Total Bases / 182 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .278 (90-for-324) against Kyle Freeland when ahead in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .196 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .485 (16-for-33) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (20/47) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (94/280) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (10/15) against Jose Berrios this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Jose Berrios attempted to pick off a runner at second base 17 timesin the 2023 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rockies are just 45-22 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies are just 49-14 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Blue Jays are 21-15 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

The Blue Jays are 165-38 (.813) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Blue Jays were 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 134-13 (.912) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Blue Jays are batting .261 on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .326 (10,204 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .148 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Blue Jays hitters have just 14 strikeouts in 91 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .489 this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.