Rockies vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 14

min read
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Blue Jays are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Blue Jays TV Channel: ROTV | RSN | TVA

The Colorado Rockies (+190) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-250) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Rockies are 4-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 7-7 ATS.

Rockies vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-2, 16.05 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 2-0, 1.50 ERA

Rockies vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +100O 8.5 -110+190
Blue Jays -1.5 -120U 8.5 -110-250

Rockies vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 70.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Rockies vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 12 away games (+12.10 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Chris Bassitt has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 away games (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 7-7 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -8.33% ROI).

  • 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -25.62% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 22.44% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -30.92% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 7-7 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -10.1% ROI).

  • 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -17.08% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -3.91% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -4.84% ROI

Blue Jays vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Blue Jays vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Blue Jays vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Blue Jays vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Freeland (COL) 2.5 -145 2.5 +110
Jose Berrios (TOR) 6.5 +100 6.5 -130

Kyle Freeland has an ERA of 16.03 (10.2 IP)this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 4.12 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .648 (118 Total Bases / 182 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .278 (90-for-324) against Kyle Freeland when ahead in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .196 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .485 (16-for-33) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (20/47) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (94/280) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (10/15) against Jose Berrios this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Jose Berrios attempted to pick off a runner at second base 17 timesin the 2023 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rockies are just 45-22 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies are just 49-14 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Blue Jays are 21-15 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

The Blue Jays are 165-38 (.813) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Blue Jays were 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 134-13 (.912) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Blue Jays are batting .261 on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .326 (10,204 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .148 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Blue Jays hitters have just 14 strikeouts in 91 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .489 this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL

Bet now on Rockies vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.