- The Brewers are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rockies / Brewers TV Channel: ROTV | BSWI | ESPN+
The Colorado Rockies (+180) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-225) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Rockies are 52-89 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 73-67 ATS.
Rockies vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-10, 5.11 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 6-9, 4.71 ERA
Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -105 | +180 |
| Brewers | -1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -115 | -225 |
Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 68.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+20.10 Units / 80% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+14.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 48 games (+26.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+19.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+18.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 49 games (+15.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 44 games (+5.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 105 games (+5.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 105 games (+0.65 Units / 1% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 136 games (+16.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 140 games (+13.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games at home (+11.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 78 of their last 140 games (+10.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 79 of their last 140 games (+9.14 Units / 5% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 69-72 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -9.14% ROI).
- 52-89 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -6.93% ROI
- 68-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -5.76% ROI
- 70-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -3.14% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 73-67 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 1.93% ROI).
- 81-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.45 Units / 7.6% ROI
- 75-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.45 Units / 9.46% ROI
- 56-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.8 Units / -17.26% ROI
Brewers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Brewers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Brewers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner (COL) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Frankie Montas (MIL) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner since last season is 419.8 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 422.1 feet — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 397.8
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OBP of .406 (192 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .322 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (17/50) against Ryan Feltner’s changeup this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Frankie Montas since last season is 385.1 feet — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
Frankie Montas has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 53% (333/630) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .291 (52-for-179) against Frankie Montas when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .338 (23-for-68) against Frankie Montas on low fastballs this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .271 — 14th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 51-38 (.573) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 78-32 (.703) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 13-13 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Rockies are just 43-8 (.827) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Brewers are 35-77 (.312) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 75-53 (.586) after a loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Brewers are 46-5 (.902) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,260 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .284 (5,659 PA’s) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .332 (1,331 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Brewers are batting just .325 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Brewers hitters have drawn 140 walks in 1,331 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.67 (2693.1 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (907.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.03 (442.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
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