- The Brewers are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Brewers TV Channel: ROTV | BSWI
The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-275) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Rockies are 53-89 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 73-68 ATS.
Rockies vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ty Blach 3-7, 6.66 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 6-5, 3.00 ERA
Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | O 8 -105 | +220 |
| Brewers | -1.5 -125 | U 8 -115 | -275 |
Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 69.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+21.10 Units / 88% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+14.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 47 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.50 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 49 games (+25.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+20.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+17.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 50 games (+17.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 48 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 106 games (+7.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 away games (+1.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 137 games (+15.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 141 games (+11.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 79 of their last 141 games (+11.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 57 games at home (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 70-72 against the Run Line (-14.7 Units / -8.5% ROI).
- 53-89 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -5.48% ROI
- 68-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -6.43% ROI
- 71-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -2.48% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 73-68 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 1.33% ROI).
- 81-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 6.22% ROI
- 75-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.35 Units / 8.68% ROI
- 57-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.8 Units / -16.5% ROI
Brewers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Perkins (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Brewers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ty Blach (COL) | 2.5 -120 | 2.5 -110 |
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .361 (107-for-296) against Ty Blach when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .358 (201-for-561) against Ty Blach since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .358 (162-for-453) against Ty Blach since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.
Ty Blach has allowed a slugging percentage of .615 (126 Total Bases / 205 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .148 (13-for-88) against Tobias Myers with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 98th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of just .453 (103 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .732 — 98th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed a slugging percentage of just .193 (16 Total Bases / 83 ABs) on sliders this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .376 — 98th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OBP of just .225 (102 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .317 — 99th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 43-8 (.827) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Rockies are just 12-35 (.250) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Rockies are just 28-27 (.509) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 78-32 (.703) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are 35-77 (.312) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 21-14 (.600) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Brewers are 90-59 (.604) at home since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Brewers are 37-37 (.500) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .636 (8,691 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,695/17,605 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters have 46 extra-base hits out of 154 total hits (just 30%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.67 (2702.1 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
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