Rockies vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 1

San Francisco Giants' Wilmer Flores (41) throws to first against the Los Angeles Dodgers during a baseball game in San Francisco, Friday, Sept. 29, 2023. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
(AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
  • The Giants are -235 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | ROTV | MLBN

The Colorado Rockies (+195) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-235) on Thursday, May 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, CA.

This season, the Rockies are 5-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 14-17 ATS.

Rockies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-4, 5.94 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 0-2, 4.94 ERA

Rockies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -110O 7.5 -120+195
Giants -1.5 -110U 7.5 +100-235

Rockies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 66.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Beck has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.30 Units / 191% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+14.10 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+14.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.67 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 11-19 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -27.46% ROI).

  • 5-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.3 Units / -59.71% ROI
  • 9-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -39.27% ROI
  • 20-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.05 Units / 30.32% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 14-17 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -4.45% ROI).

  • 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 13.69% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 14.37% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -23.37% ROI

Giants vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000

Giants vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Luis Matos (SF) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Giants vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Giants vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Freeland (COL) 3.5 -125 3.5 -105
Justin Verlander (SF) 6.5 -120 6.5 -110

Opponents are hitting .400 (18-for-45) against Kyle Freeland when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (18-for-45) against Kyle Freeland when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .236 — second Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (291/631) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strike rate of 70% (327/466) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .398 (33 GB hits out of 83 GBs) against Justin Verlander in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .533 (8-for-15) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .349 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (22/56) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .472 (17 GB hits out of 36 GBs) against Justin Verlander with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Rockies are just 106-15 (.869) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Rockies are just 88-36 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.

The Rockies are just 55-9 (.846) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Rockies are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Giants are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .078.

The Giants are 146-5 (.967) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Giants are 19-12 (.613) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 7-1 (.875) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .617.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 17% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rockies hitters have struck out in 28% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

The Giants are batting just .130 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .302 (5,198 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.