Rockies vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 30

Miami Marlins' Jesus Sanchez runs the bases after hitting a three run home run during the first inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals, Tuesday, July 4, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
  • The Marlins are -140 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rockies / Marlins TV Channel: ROTV | BSFL

The Colorado Rockies (+120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-140) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Rockies are 7-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 9-21 ATS.

Rockies vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-2, 5.69 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Sixto Sanchez 0-1, 7.21 ERA

Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -185O 8 -120+120
Marlins -1.5 +150U 8 +100-140

Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Rockies vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Nick Fortes has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.30 Units / 206% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+3.14 Units / 4% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 12-16 against the Run Line (-6.25 Units / -19.62% ROI).

  • 7-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -35.06% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -15.13% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 6.24% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 9-21 against the Run Line (-16.71 Units / -43.11% ROI).

  • 6-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -57.74% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -10.32% ROI

Marlins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Josh Bell (MIA) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1100

Marlins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Emmanuel Rivera (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Nick Gordon (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Marlins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Josh Bell (MIA) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Nick Gordon (MIA) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Marlins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of 1.375 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .699 — 0 Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has thrown his slider 58% of the time (55/95) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .474 (18-for-38) against Ryan Feltner when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has a strikeout rate of 38% (17 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sixto Sanchez has a first-pitch strike rate of just 40% (19/47) this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (11/92) against Sixto Sanchez this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 8% (3/38) against Sixto Sanchez this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (5/50) against Sixto Sanchez this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Rockies are just 18-16 (.529) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Rockies are just 50-14 (.781) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Rockies are just 46-22 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Marlins are just 108-29 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.

The Marlins are just 30-56 (.349) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Marlins are just 57-15 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Marlins are just 24-124 (.162) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Rockies are batting .274 at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .262 (447 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .248 (409 PA’s) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 12% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 472.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 444.6

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Marlins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
  • Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL

Bet now on Rockies vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.