- The Marlins are -160 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rockies / Marlins TV Channel: ESPN+ | BSFL | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-175) on Thursday, May 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Rockies are 7-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 10-22 ATS.
Rockies vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 2-1, 4.77 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 1-1, 5.18 ERA
Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -110 | +145 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -110 | -175 |
Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+7.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 140% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+13.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.30 Units / 75% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+3.14 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 13-17 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -19.55% ROI).
- 7-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -39.52% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -14.13% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 5.48% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 10-22 against the Run Line (-16.26 Units / -39.89% ROI).
- 8-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -47.87% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 2.13% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -9.93% ROI
Marlins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tim Anderson (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Marlins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (11/72) against Peter Lambert this season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (10/71) against Peter Lambert with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (11/72) against Peter Lambert this season — tied for 11th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.
Peter Lambert has allowed an OPS of .939 (31 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 14th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 13th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 50 of 327 batters (15%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 72 of 501 batters (14%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (124/185) against Edward Cabrera on non-fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (41/247) against Edward Cabrera since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are just 50-15 (.769) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 18-16 (.529) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Rockies are just 46-23 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins are just 58-15 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are 15-165 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Marlins are just 38-34 (.528) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Marlins are 42-19 (.689) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rockies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .265 (453 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 21% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have not walked any of the 55 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 132 of 1,272 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Marlins have won just 15% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Marlins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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