- The Mets are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Mets TV Channel: SNY | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-250) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Rockies are 33-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 45-47 ATS.
Rockies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Tanner Gordon 0-1, 7.11 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 5-3, 3.47 ERA
Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -110 | +200 |
| Mets | -1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -110 | -250 |
Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 65.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+24.80 Units / 103% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+25.20 Units / 315% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+15.75 Units / 72% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 82% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 58 games (+12.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 58 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 32 away games (+4.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 83 games (+17.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 45-49 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -12.54% ROI).
- 33-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 47-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -2.35% ROI
- 45-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -6.58% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 45-47 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.75% ROI).
- 47-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.42% ROI
- 47-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
- 40-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.95 Units / -11.18% ROI
Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| DJ Stewart (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Gordon (COL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Gordon has a strike rate of 80% (62/78) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Gordon had a strike rate of 80% (62/78) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 63% of Tanner Gordon’s pitches (49/78) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Gordon has not walked any of the 26 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 19 of 153 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .048 (1 Total Bases / 21 ABs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .274 — 96th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 65.1.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (8 Total Bases / 64 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .370 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 78-13 (.857) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 23-23 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Rockies are just 46-34 (.575) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 64-40 (.615) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .788.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Mets are 7-29 (.194) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Mets are just 32-11 (.744) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Mets are just 95-17 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 410.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of .780 (1,028 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .325 (10,958 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Mets are batting .264 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mets hitters are slugging .449 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 355 of 3,539 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers have walked 80 of 828 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have walked 220 of 2,240 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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