Rockies vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 1

(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
  • The Mets are -375 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Mets TV Channel: SNY | ROTV

The Colorado Rockies (+310) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-400) on Sunday, June 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Rockies are 9-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 30-28 ATS.

Rockies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Carson Palmquist 0-3, 9.01 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 5-3, 2.99 ERA

Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 -110O 8.5 -115+310
Mets -2.5 -110U 8.5 -105-400

Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 71.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+9.90 Units / 198% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jordan Beck has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 57 games (+20.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 58 games (+17.52 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+11.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+6.24 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+5.74 Units / 9% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 20-38 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -25.87% ROI).

  • 9-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.95 Units / -54.48% ROI
  • 23-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -20.49% ROI
  • 33-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.6 Units / 11.84% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 30-28 against the Run Line (+2.29 Units / 3.1% ROI).

  • 36-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 5.3% ROI
  • 21-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.7 Units / -27.63% ROI
  • 35-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.7 Units / 18.4% ROI

Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Juan Soto (NYM) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Luis Torrens (NYM) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Luis Torrens (NYM) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Juan Soto (NYM) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Clay Holmes (NYM) 6.5 -125 6.5 -105
Carson Palmquist (COL) 3.5 -120 3.5 -110

Carson Palmquist has limited playing time.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (225/343) against Clay Holmes since the 2023 season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 65% (116/178) against Clay Holmes in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Rockies are just 90-37 (.703) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies are just 49-18 (.721) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies are just 8-42 (.160) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Rockies are just 0-6 (.000) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Mets are 8-79 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Mets are 42-33 (.560) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Rockies (19th best runs scored) today.

The Mets are 14-72 (.163) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 24% on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .254 (1,063 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 10% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .230 since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .163 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .820 (702 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mets pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.