- The Nationals are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rockies / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-200) on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Rockies are 15-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 36-36 ATS.
Rockies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 1-10, 7.34 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 3-4, 5.15 ERA
Rockies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -115 | +165 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -105 | -200 |
Rockies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+16.60 Units / 208% ROI)
- Jordan Beck has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 away games (+9.80 Units / 86% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Adams has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games (+11.60 Units / 114% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+11.30 Units / 104% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+11.00 Units / 157% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 37 away games (+15.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+12.07 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+9.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+7.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+6.75 Units / 96% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 56 games (+13.89 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.07 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 games at home (+1.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 27-45 against the Run Line (-15.9 Units / -19.78% ROI).
- 15-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.5 Units / -40.61% ROI
- 30-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -16.07% ROI
- 39-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.15 Units / 7.78% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 36-36 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -7.52% ROI).
- 30-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.92 Units / -7.76% ROI
- 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -9.58% ROI
- 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 1.01% ROI
Nationals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Nationals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Daylen Lile (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brady House (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Nationals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Soroka (WAS) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Antonio Senzatela (COL) | 2.5 -118 | 2.5 -110 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .430 (49-for-114) against Antonio Senzatela when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .373 (110-for-295) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .405 (62-for-153) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OBP of .460 (126 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (18/121) against Mike Soroka this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Mike Soroka walked 27 of 201 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (63/337) against Mike Soroka since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Mike Soroka walked 13% of batters in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rockies are just 114-16 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 15-57 (.208) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 63-10 (.851) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 92-40 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Nationals are just 30-109 (.216) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Nationals are just 29-42 (.403) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 62-64 (.488) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Rockies (Ranks 28th runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 99-115 (.460) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .279 (7,338 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 34% since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 21% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Nationals pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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