- The Padres are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV | MLBN
The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-275) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Rockies are 13-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 23-21 ATS.
Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 2-3, 3.95 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 5-2, 2.19 ERA
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +110 | O 7 -105 | +220 |
| Padres | -1.5 -130 | U 7 -115 | -275 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 68.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+17.50 Units / 438% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 28 games (+25.40 Units / 91% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+16.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 46% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 21-20 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -5.42% ROI).
- 13-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -19.58% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -8.99% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.45% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 23-21 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 7.36% ROI).
- 22-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -5.29% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -1.67% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -6.76% ROI
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Luis Campusano (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 8.5 -125 | 8.5 -105 |
| Cal Quantrill (COL) | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .341 (317 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 31% (217 SO in 700 PAs) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .245 (67-for-273) against Cal Quantrill with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .173 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (31/186) against Cal Quantrill this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .093 (8-for-86) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has allowed an OPS of just .290 (94 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .207 (184 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.
Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .151 (93 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 50-23 (.685) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 19-16 (.543) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rockies are just 16-55 (.225) after a road loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Rockies are just 53-129 (.291) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are just 6-18 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Padres are just 1-86 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Padres are just 7-138 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Padres are just 4-80 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.7 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.7 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 414.3 feet this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 396.0.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have 44 extra-base hits out of 81 total hits (54%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Padres are batting .285 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Padres are batting just .202 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .332 (1,248 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (4,942 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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