- The Astros are -160 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Royals are 75-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 67-66 ATS.
Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 9-9, 3.38 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 11-7, 3.75 ERA
Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -105 | +125 |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -115 | -150 |
Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 48 games (+23.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+15.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+15.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 36 games (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 41 games (+38.80 Units / 95% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+16.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+12.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+11.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 130 games (+10.59 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 116 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 75 games (+15.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 60 games (+11.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 75-59 against the Run Line (+6.99 Units / 3.87% ROI).
- 75-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 7.12% ROI
- 62-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -7.83% ROI
- 67-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -1.16% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 67-66 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.37% ROI).
- 71-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -4.57% ROI
- 52-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -32 Units / -22% ROI
- 77-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.55 Units / 13.26% ROI
Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer allowed a batting average of just .201 vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 85th Percentile and .298 vs left-handed batters this season (worst among qualified SPs)– second Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed a just .290 SLG vs right-handed batters (fourth best)– 95th Percentile and .492 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of .354 (492 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — third Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 43% of the time (568/1,332) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .353 (269 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% (12/38) against Hunter Brown on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has a strikeout rate of 36% (51 SO in 143 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 88th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .282 (59-for-209) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — seventh Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Royals are just 37-18 (.673) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Royals are just 43-44 (.494) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Royals are just 4-41 (.089) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Royals are 27-39 (.409) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Astros are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 0-47 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Astros are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 189-27 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have drawn 183 walks in 2,732 PA’s (7%) against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals have won just 47% of games in which they have scored first on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Royals hitters are slugging .262 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are slugging .494 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Astros hitters have just 580 strikeouts in 3,162 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,443/17,338 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 901 strikeouts in 5,012 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.4 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.0
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have walked 470 of 4,959 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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