- The Astros are -165 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Friday, August 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Royals are 75-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 68-66 ATS.
Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 14-8, 3.19 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 13-6, 3.26 ERA
Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -120 | +145 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 8 +100 | -175 |
Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 49 games (+22.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+11.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+11.70 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+37.80 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+15.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+14.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+12.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 131 games (+8.99 Units / 5% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 117 games (+19.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+16.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+12.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 75-60 against the Run Line (+5.39 Units / 2.96% ROI).
- 75-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 6.49% ROI
- 63-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -7.09% ROI
- 67-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -1.96% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 68-66 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 2.21% ROI).
- 72-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.01% ROI
- 53-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -31 Units / -21.17% ROI
- 77-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.35 Units / 12.35% ROI
Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has walked 12 of 243 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has an average spin rate of 3213.8 RPM on curveballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 2531.1 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .600 (9-for-15) against Seth Lugo versus the bottom of the order in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .220 — first Percentile.
Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 22% of the time (232/1,057) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 94th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .290 (199 Total Bases / 687 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (231/386) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .566 (764 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (885/2,124) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 37-18 (.673) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Royals are just 43-45 (.489) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Royals are just 14-73 (.161) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Astros are just 0-47 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Astros are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 78-55 (.586) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .435.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (5,450 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have just 705 strikeouts in 3,800 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 918 strikeouts in 5,009 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,446/17,374 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,605/11,320 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .855 (828 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Astros hitters have just 903 strikeouts in 5,015 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won 44% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .281 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since last season is 393.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.0
Astros vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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