- The Astros are -165 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Royals are 75-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 69-67 ATS.
Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 7-7, 4.70 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-6, 3.14 ERA
Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -150 | O 9 -120 | +140 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 9 +100 | -165 |
Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+23.00 Units / 209% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.30 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+37.80 Units / 90% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+17.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+16.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 away games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 133 games (+7.99 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 71 of their last 119 games (+21.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 78 games (+17.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 63 games (+14.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 76-61 against the Run Line (+4.39 Units / 2.36% ROI).
- 75-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 5.26% ROI
- 63-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -8.4% ROI
- 69-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -0.6% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 69-67 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 2.61% ROI).
- 74-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -2.91% ROI
- 53-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.1 Units / -22.28% ROI
- 79-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.35 Units / 13.48% ROI
Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tommy Pham (STL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has walked 4 of 103 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .559 (147 Total Bases / 263 ABs) versus the top of the order since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .436 — fourth Percentile.
The average home run distance against Alec Marsh this season is 411.1 feet — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 398.3
Alec Marsh has allowed an OPS of .841 (333 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .701 — fourth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .135 (26-for-193) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 24 of 221 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (36-for-251) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .190 (98-for-515) against Ronel Blanco this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 14-73 (.161) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
The Royals are just 37-18 (.673) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Royals are just 20-61 (.247) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Astros are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 0-47 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Astros are 78-55 (.586) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Astros are 122-36 (.772) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting .183 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Royals hitters have just 234 strikeouts in 1,264 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,517 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (795/5,136 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,456/17,443 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 914 strikeouts in 5,038 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Royals have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.3 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.1
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros have allowed 3.75 runs per game (867/231) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Astros vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Royals vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
