The Kansas City Royals (-110) visit HoHoKam Stadium to take on the Oakland Athletics (-110) on Sunday, March 10, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Mesa, AZ.
This season, the Royals are 8-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 6-3 ATS.
Royals vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Royals | -110 |
| Athletics | -110 |
Royals vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 6-4 against the Run Line (+2.56 Units / 22.65% ROI).
- 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.82 Units / 42.14% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -42.32% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.67 Units / 32.83% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Athletics are 6-3 against the Run Line (+3.97 Units / 38.17% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 13.66% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 7.14% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -15% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer had an ERA of 7.49 (51.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.27 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .372 (32-for-86) against Brady Singer’s elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 0 Percentile.
Brady Singer had an ERA of 7.18 (62.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.42 — third Percentile.
Hitters chased just 64 of Brady Singer’s 511 fastballs out of the zone (chase rate of 12%) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 37% (30/82) versus Paul Blackburn on sliders in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Hitters swung at 53% of Paul Blackburn’s pitches (296/561) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.9 MPH on the 296 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.
Opponents batted .325 (68-for-209) against Paul Blackburn on the road in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .256 — fourth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Royals are just 11-83 (.117) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals were just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals were just 17-12 (.586) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 9-15 (.375) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics were just 29-79 (.269) after a loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 67-143 (.319) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters had an OPS of just .649 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .223 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The Athletics allowed 5.95 runs per game (482/81) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
Athletics vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Freddy Fermin (Kansas City Royals): Finger, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- John McMillon (Kansas City Royals): Forearm, Out
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Out
- Brad Keller (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Back, Out
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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