- The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Blue Jays TV Channel: BSKC | RSN1
The Kansas City Royals (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Royals are 17-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 14-15 ATS.
Royals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Jonathan Bowlan 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 0-1, 3.86 ERA
Royals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 +100 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -120 | -165 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+13.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.95 Units / 100% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+14.20 Units / 95% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 26 games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 18-11 against the Run Line (+3.54 Units / 8.54% ROI).
- 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 20.9% ROI
- 9-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -31.17% ROI
- 17-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 22.98% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 14-15 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -8.32% ROI).
- 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -7.48% ROI
- 11-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -27.53% ROI
- 18-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 17.7% ROI
Blue Jays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Blue Jays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
12 of Yariel Rodriguez’s 15 strikeouts (80%) have come on non-fastballs this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 59% (45/76) against Yariel Rodriguez on sliders this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 96th Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has recorded 10 of his 15 strikeouts (67%) with breaking balls this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 95th Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has recorded 10 of his 15 strikeouts (67%) with his slider this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Royals are just 18-45 (.286) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Royals are just 11-15 (.423) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Royals are just 13-86 (.131) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are just 9-65 (.122) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Blue Jays are 172-42 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Blue Jays are just 9-48 (.158) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Blue Jays are 22-17 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .279 (3,403 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 306 strikeouts in 1,631 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .343 (1,631 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Blue Jays hitters have just 552 strikeouts in 2,870 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have chased just 15% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 114.6).
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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