- The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Blue Jays TV Channel: BSKC | RSN1
The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-145) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Royals are 17-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 14-16 ATS.
Royals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 1-2, 3.90 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 4-1, 1.25 ERA
Royals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 +100 | +120 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -120 | -145 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+13.30 Units / 102% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 67% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+13.20 Units / 82% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 19-11 against the Run Line (+4.54 Units / 10.57% ROI).
- 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 17.37% ROI
- 10-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -26.96% ROI
- 17-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 18.75% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 14-16 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -10.58% ROI).
- 15-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -4.45% ROI
- 12-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -23.55% ROI
- 18-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 13.81% ROI
Blue Jays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .237 (52 Total Bases / 219 ABs) on the road since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .428 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .370 (17-for-46) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (82/264) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .419 (13 GB hits out of 31 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (190/538) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of just .338 (54 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .696 — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 30% of the time (29/98) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (134/327) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Royals are just 13-87 (.130) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 18-45 (.286) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are 21-10 (.677) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 22-17 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Blue Jays are just 10-65 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Blue Jays are 38-69 (.355) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,444 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .645 (3,444 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have chased just 15% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .384 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .549.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .746 (10,595 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,561 strikeouts in 8,005 PA’s (20%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 114.6).
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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