- The Guardians are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Royals / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-150) on Tuesday, August 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Royals are 74-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 65-67 ATS.
Royals vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 7-6, 3.51 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 2-6, 5.10 ERA
Royals vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -110 | +125 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -110 | -150 |
Royals vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 46 games (+20.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+17.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+15.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 47 games (+24.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 44 games (+19.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+15.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+13.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.85 Units / 39% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 away games (+11.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 73 of their last 128 games (+11.24 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games at home (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 59 games at home (+7.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 74-58 against the Run Line (+7.64 Units / 4.3% ROI).
- 74-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 6.96% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -7.87% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.07% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 65-67 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.18% ROI).
- 75-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.82 Units / 5.86% ROI
- 64-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -2.37% ROI
- 61-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -6.5% ROI
Guardians vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Guardians vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Guardians vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Guardians vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a BABIP of .176 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .286 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .276 (56 Total Bases / 203 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .408 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 29 of 193 batters (15%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 5 of 30 right-handed batters (17%) in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
17 of Gavin Williams’ 62 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (101/362) against Gavin Williams since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Gavin Williams has walked 6 of 36 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .206 (42-for-204) against Gavin Williams since last season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 92nd Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are just 24-101 (.192) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are 27-39 (.409) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 14-73 (.161) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 66-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Guardians are 57-2 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are just 3-49 (.058) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Guardians are 22-26 (.458) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals are batting .184 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Royals hitters have drawn 183 walks in 2,720 PA’s (7%) against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have drawn 76 walks in 1,194 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Guardians are batting just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .281 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Guardians pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Royals vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
