The Kansas City Royals (+130) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Wednesday, February 28, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Peoria, AZ.
This season, the Royals are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 2-1 ATS.
Royals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Royals | +130 |
| Mariners | -155 |
Royals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Cooper Hummel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Cooper Hummel has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.59 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games at home (+8.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 37.5% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 25.97% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -100% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 85.71% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 22.22% ROI).
- 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -69.7% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 93.75% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -100% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer had an ERA of 7.49 (51.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.27 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .372 (32-for-86) against Brady Singer’s elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 0 Percentile.
Brady Singer had an ERA of 7.18 (62.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.42 — third Percentile.
Hitters chased just 64 of Brady Singer’s 511 fastballs out of the zone (chase rate of 12%) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert walked 36 of 770 batters (5%) in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.
Logan Gilbert allowed an OBP of just .270 (767 PA’s) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 95th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert threw his slider 44% of the time (229/525) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .272 against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 12th-best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 90th Percentile. Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 0 Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Royals are just 11-83 (.117) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals were just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals were just 17-12 (.586) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 9-15 (.375) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners were 64-13 (.831) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
The Mariners were 76-2 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters had an OPS of just .649 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .125 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters struck out 1,603 times in 6,201 PA’s (26%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 3.42 (744.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Mariners vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out
- Freddy Fermin (Kansas City Royals): Finger, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- John McMillon (Kansas City Royals): Forearm, Out
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Out
- Brad Keller (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Back, Out
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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