- The Royals are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Royals vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (-165) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Royals are 82-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 86-70 ATS.
Royals vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 11-9, 3.27 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 7-10, 4.45 ERA
Royals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -110 | -165 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | U 7.5 -110 | +135 |
Royals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+21.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 24 away games (+20.50 Units / 85% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.35 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games at home (+21.10 Units / 105% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mitchell Parker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.30 Units / 63% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 away games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 152 games (+7.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 148 games (+8.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games at home (+5.10 Units / 86% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 85-71 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 1.64% ROI).
- 82-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.87% ROI
- 68-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.85 Units / -12.88% ROI
- 82-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 86-70 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 2.09% ROI).
- 69-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.21% ROI
- 72-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -6.28% ROI
- 76-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -2.34% ROI
Nationals vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Andrรฉs Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yuli Gurriel (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Robbie Grossman (KC) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Nationals vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrรฉs Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Nationals vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .484 (15 GB hits out of 31 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (477/1,480) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (307/740) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 28% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .404 (21 GB hits out of 52 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 11% (4 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (124/453) against Mitchell Parker since last season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .256 (10-for-39) against Mitchell Parker with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — fourth Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has struck out just 16% (12/77) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Royals are just 24-106 (.185) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 20-65 (.235) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Nationals are 11-2 (.846) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 96-141 (.405) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 59-235 (.201) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have just 1,103 strikeouts in 5,770 PA’s (19%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .188 over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,791 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .945 (2,183 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,610 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (800 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .516 with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .606.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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