- The Royals are -105 favorites vs the Pirates
- Royals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Pirates TV Channel: BSKC | SNPT | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Royals are 80-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 80-66 ATS.
Royals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 12-7, 3.36 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 11-9, 3.88 ERA
Royals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -105 | -115 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -115 | -105 |
Royals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+22.00 Units / 183% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+9.60 Units / 80% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+19.40 Units / 242% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+11.70 Units / 117% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 82-65 against the Run Line (+6.79 Units / 3.41% ROI).
- 80-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 5.08% ROI
- 65-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.1 Units / -11.34% ROI
- 76-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.38% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 80-66 against the Run Line (+11.21 Units / 5.97% ROI).
- 70-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -4.42% ROI
- 71-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -3.85% ROI
- 70-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.12 Units / -4.47% ROI
Pirates vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Pirates vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Pirates vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (646/1,358) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (310/660) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (310/660) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (933/1,956) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .556 (124 Total Bases / 223 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .309 (69-for-223) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of .914 (247 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .358 (246 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 4-47 (.078) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Pirates are just 6-42 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are just 58-7 (.892) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Pirates are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 127-10 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,321 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have drawn 81 walks in 1,321 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have just 1,032 strikeouts in 5,472 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .410 (136 PA’s) on the road this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .674.
Pirates hitters have 1,356 strikeouts in 5,322 PA’s (26%) against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Pirates are batting just .191 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Pirates hitters have 89 strikeouts in 249 PA’s (36%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Royals pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have walked 3 of 107 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,639 of 18,104 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates pitchers have 243 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Pirates pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Pirates vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Royals vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
