- The Royals are -110 favorites vs the Pirates
- Royals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Pirates TV Channel: BSKC | SNPT
The Kansas City Royals (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Royals are 81-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 80-67 ATS.
Royals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 9-10, 3.42 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 6-7, 3.82 ERA
Royals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -110 | -110 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 -110 | -110 |
Royals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+22.00 Units / 183% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+9.60 Units / 80% ROI)
- Brady Singer has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brady Singer has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+8.65 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+18.40 Units / 204% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+10.70 Units / 97% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jared Jones has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 55% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 83-65 against the Run Line (+8.24 Units / 4.12% ROI).
- 81-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 5.58% ROI
- 65-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -11.95% ROI
- 77-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 2.98% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 80-67 against the Run Line (+9.56 Units / 5.05% ROI).
- 70-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -4.98% ROI
- 71-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -4.5% ROI
- 71-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.12 Units / -3.82% ROI
Pirates vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Pirates vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Pirates vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 45% of the time (1,221/2,692) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 57% of the time (427/750) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 45% of the time (1,221/2,692) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 57% of the time (427/750) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Jones had a strike rate of 74% (68/92) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has struck out 30% (69/226) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.
Jared Jones has averaged 97.3 MPH on fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 98th Percentile.
Jared Jones has allowed an OBP of just .111 (27 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 95th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Pirates are just 58-7 (.892) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Pirates are just 6-42 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are just 110-24 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Pirates are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have just 1,040 strikeouts in 5,511 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,751 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,324 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .302 (5,328 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Pirates hitters have 447 strikeouts in 1,327 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 89 strikeouts in 250 PA’s (36%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 863 strikeouts in 3,445 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Royals have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,643 of 18,143 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Pirates pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Pirates pitchers had allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Pirates vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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