Royals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 15

Pittsburgh Pirates' Andrew McCutchen rounds third after hitting a solo home run off starting pitcher Freddy Peralta (51) during the fourth inning of a baseball game in Pittsburgh, Friday, June 30, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
  • The Royals are -110 favorites vs the Pirates
  • Royals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Royals / Pirates TV Channel: BSKC | SNPT

The Kansas City Royals (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Royals are 81-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 80-67 ATS.

Royals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 9-10, 3.42 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 6-7, 3.82 ERA

Royals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals-1.5 +165O 7.5 -110-110
Pirates +1.5 -200U 7.5 -110-110

Royals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Royals vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+22.00 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+9.60 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Brady Singer has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Brady Singer has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+8.65 Units / 15% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+18.40 Units / 204% ROI)
  • Yasmani Grandal has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+10.70 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Yasmani Grandal has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Yasmani Grandal has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jared Jones has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 83-65 against the Run Line (+8.24 Units / 4.12% ROI).

  • 81-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 5.58% ROI
  • 65-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -11.95% ROI
  • 77-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 2.98% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 80-67 against the Run Line (+9.56 Units / 5.05% ROI).

  • 70-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -4.98% ROI
  • 71-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -4.5% ROI
  • 71-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.12 Units / -3.82% ROI

Pirates vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Michael Massey (KC) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200

Pirates vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Tommy Pham (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Pirates vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Joey Bart (PIT) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Pirates vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady Singer (KC) 5.5 -115 5.5 -110

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 45% of the time (1,221/2,692) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 57% of the time (427/750) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 45% of the time (1,221/2,692) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 57% of the time (427/750) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jared Jones had a strike rate of 74% (68/92) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Jared Jones has struck out 30% (69/226) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.

Jared Jones has averaged 97.3 MPH on fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 98th Percentile.

Jared Jones has allowed an OBP of just .111 (27 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 95th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.

The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Pirates are just 58-7 (.892) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Pirates are just 6-42 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Pirates are just 110-24 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Pirates are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals hitters have just 1,040 strikeouts in 5,511 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,751 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Royals hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,324 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .302 (5,328 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Pirates hitters have 447 strikeouts in 1,327 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Pirates hitters have 89 strikeouts in 250 PA’s (36%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Pirates hitters have 863 strikeouts in 3,445 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Royals have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,643 of 18,143 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Pirates pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Pirates pitchers had allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Pirates vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
  • Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Royals vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.