- The Rangers are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Royals are 34-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 37-34 ATS.
Royals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 3-5, 3.19 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 4-3, 3.91 ERA
Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -118 | +110 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -102 | -135 |
Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Walks Over in his last 10 games (+15.70 Units / 157% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+13.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 53% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 72 games (+31.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 71 games (+17.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 22 away games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 72 games (+22.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 72 games (+20.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+8.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 36-36 against the Run Line (-9 Units / -8.85% ROI).
- 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -6.39% ROI
- 29-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.62 Units / -21.14% ROI
- 42-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.1 Units / 12.66% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 37-34 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -0.85% ROI).
- 36-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -4.4% ROI
- 23-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.95 Units / -37.07% ROI
- 48-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.35 Units / 27.83% ROI
Rangers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rangers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Rangers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
Rangers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .195 (8-for-41) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 97th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 21% (17 SO in 82 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .043 (1-for-23) against Seth Lugo’s low fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (112/506) against Seth Lugo this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Leiter has walked 13% of right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (7/62) against Jack Leiter’s breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
56% of Jack Leiter’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .173 (19-for-110) against Jack Leiter’s fastball this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 99th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 19-95 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Royals are just 26-70 (.271) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 21-32 (.396) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are just 13-55 (.191) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rangers are just 25-92 (.214) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .333 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Rangers have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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