- The Rays are -175 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | FDKC | MLBN | FDFL
The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Royals are 15-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 13-16 ATS.
Royals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 1-1, 2.11 ERA
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -102 | +145 |
| Rays | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -118 | -175 |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+17.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+17.20 Units / 172% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 49% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.45 Units / 66% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 13-17 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -22.07% ROI).
- 15-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.41% ROI
- 10-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -32.31% ROI
- 19-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.9 Units / 23.58% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 13-16 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -10.12% ROI).
- 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -8.27% ROI
- 11-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -20.19% ROI
- 16-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 12.85% ROI
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Danny Jansen (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +130 |
| Noah Cameron (KC) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 58% of the time (136/236) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 57% of the time (54/95) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 18 of Drew Rasmussen’s 35 elevated fastballs out of the zone (51%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (63/140) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 4-59 (.063) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .192.
The Royals are just 22-67 (.247) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
The Royals are just 16-83 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Rays are 14-139 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 5-1 (.833) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .618.
The Rays are just 6-8 (.429) after a loss this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,234 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Royals are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of its PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters slugged just .358 against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters are slugging just .367 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out in the zone 59% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 28 double plays in 180 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers walked 445 of 6,022 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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