- The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Royals / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Royals are 52-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 45-49 ATS.
Royals vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 5-5, 2.92 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 9-5, 5.43 ERA
Royals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | O 9.5 -110 | +120 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +140 | U 9.5 -110 | -145 |
Royals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 92 games (+6.74 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 56% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 54-42 against the Run Line (+3.14 Units / 2.37% ROI).
- 52-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 6.1% ROI
- 40-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.05 Units / -16.35% ROI
- 52-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 7.44% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 45-49 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -7.79% ROI).
- 52-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 4.48% ROI
- 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.09% ROI
Red Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Red Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Adam Frazier (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Red Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Red Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has allowed a just .263 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for second best)– 98th Percentile and .483 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 21 of 162 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 58% of the time (278/480) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed a slugging percentage of just .263 (46 Total Bases / 175 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .372 — 98th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brayan Bello has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Brayan Bello when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .216 — second Percentile.
Brayan Bello has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brayan Bello has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Royals are just 20-96 (.172) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Royals are just 13-66 (.165) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Red Sox are 10-7 (.588) after a road loss this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Red Sox are 103-18 (.851) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Red Sox are 115-4 (.966) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,691 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have not struck out in 25 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 52 strikeouts in 147 PA’s (35%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 302 strikeouts in 1,035 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have 1,040 strikeouts in 4,160 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Royals have won just 15% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have walked 7 of 174 batters (4%) over the past seven days (5 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 244 of 3,523 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.26 (405.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Red Sox pitchers have 417 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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