- The Royals are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
- Royals vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Royals / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+150) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Royals are 48-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 43-45 ATS.
Royals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 11-2, 2.16 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 1-5, 4.80 ERA
Royals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 -120 | O 10.5 -105 | -185 |
| Rockies | +1.5 +100 | U 10.5 -115 | +150 |
Royals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 80% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 86 games (+5.14 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+13.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 52 games (+7.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 50-40 against the Run Line (+1.54 Units / 1.24% ROI).
- 48-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 4.94% ROI
- 37-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.75 Units / -17.13% ROI
- 49-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.2 Units / 8.35% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 43-45 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -10.79% ROI).
- 31-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -8.44% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -4.45% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -4.59% ROI
Rockies vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Isbel (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rockies vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Rockies vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has thrown breaking pitches 48% of the time (511/1,068) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of 40% (18 SO in 45 PAs) over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .220 (13-for-59) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (26/136) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 13th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .725 (29 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .425 (17-for-40) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (16/105) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
11 of Austin Gomber’s 34 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Royals are just 20-96 (.172) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 23-54 (.299) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 35-39 (.473) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .619.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rockies are just 64-30 (.681) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 46-33 (.582) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 76-13 (.854) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 68-20 (.773) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,469 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .301 (2,600 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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