- The Tigers are -120 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: ATV+
The Kansas City Royals (+100) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-120) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Royals are 61-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 55-55 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 7-7, 3.38 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 12-3, 2.36 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +180 | O 7 -115 | +100 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -225 | U 7 -105 | -120 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 games (+14.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+27.50 Units / 688% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+9.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 8 games at home (+9.05 Units / 76% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 106 games (+11.24 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.25 Units / 44% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 93 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+4.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 63-47 against the Run Line (+7.64 Units / 5.14% ROI).
- 61-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.5 Units / 6.81% ROI
- 46-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.65 Units / -16.48% ROI
- 60-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.95 Units / 7.42% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 55-55 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.23% ROI).
- 52-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -6.82% ROI
- 58-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.15 Units / 6.92% ROI
- 45-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.9 Units / -16.06% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +115 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .545 (12 GB hits out of 22 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (345/1,056) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (310/896) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has struck out 31% (131/427) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 89th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has walked 1 of 90 batters (1%) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has 42 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .212 (189 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 22% (26/116) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 13-69 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
The Royals are just 40-42 (.488) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .622.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are 24-4 (.857) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Tigers are 37-5 (.881) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Tigers are just 35-9 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Tigers are just 29-167 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (4,890 PA’s) on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters are slugging .265 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Royals hitters have drawn 537 walks in 7,616 PA’s (7%) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,238 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (7,900 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.67 (290.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since last season is 404.5 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 398.6
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 288 of 4,080 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 764 of 10,153 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
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