- The Royals are -140 favorites vs the Tigers
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (-145) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+120) on Saturday, August 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Royals are 62-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 55-56 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 5-6, 3.85 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +110 | O 9 -115 | -145 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -135 | U 9 -105 | +120 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+16.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+26.50 Units / 530% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 107 games (+12.24 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.25 Units / 47% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 94 games (+13.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+3.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 64-47 against the Run Line (+8.64 Units / 5.73% ROI).
- 62-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 7.47% ROI
- 47-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.65 Units / -15.5% ROI
- 60-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 6.45% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 55-56 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -4.86% ROI).
- 52-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -7.7% ROI
- 59-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 7.69% ROI
- 45-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -20 Units / -16.84% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .144 (24-for-167) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a batting average of .294 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .144 vs left-handed batters this season (best among non-qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a .503 SLG vs right-handed batters (11th worst)– 10th Percentile and just .263 vs left-handed batters this season (second best among non-qualified SPs)– 98th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .543 (200 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .717 — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Faedo has allowed a slugging percentage of .532 (50 Total Bases / 94 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .314 (11-for-35) against Alex Faedo’s elevated fastball this season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .198 — sixth Percentile.
Alex Faedo has allowed an OPS of .906 (109 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — third Percentile.
Alex Faedo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .059 (1 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 13-69 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
The Royals are just 23-99 (.189) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 29-168 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are just 31-53 (.369) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Tigers are just 9-16 (.360) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters are slugging .267 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (4,933 PA’s) on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals are batting just .316 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Tigers are batting just .283 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,246 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (7,908 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.65 (299.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers this season is 405.6 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 397.5
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 766 of 10,196 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 290 of 4,123 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
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