- The Royals are -110 favorites vs the Twins
- Royals vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (-110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Royals are 65-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 59-60 ATS.
Royals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 9-7, 3.27 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland 0-4, 6.39 ERA
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +150 | O 8 +100 | -110 |
| Twins | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -120 | -110 |
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games (+18.60 Units / 155% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+17.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+12.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+32.50 Units / 181% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+15.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+15.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.95 Units / 45% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 116 games (+6.89 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games at home (+16.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+15.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+11.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 99 games (+9.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 66-54 against the Run Line (+3.29 Units / 2.04% ROI).
- 65-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 4.39% ROI
- 55-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.75 Units / -9.02% ROI
- 61-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.08% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 59-60 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.2% ROI).
- 67-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.59% ROI
- 62-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 4.79% ROI
- 51-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.5 Units / -13.44% ROI
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adam Frazier (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Louie Varland (MIN) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (336/979) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (374/1,156) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 32% (69 SO in 216 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .191 (38-for-199) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 90th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .133 (26-for-195) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (110/329) against Bailey Ober this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Bailey Ober has a strikeout rate of 47% (67 SO in 141 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 96th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has a strikeout rate of 38% (54 SO in 144 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are 24-37 (.393) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Royals are just 64-64 (.500) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Royals are just 23-101 (.185) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Royals are just 122-51 (.705) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are 55-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Twins are 126-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are just 25-33 (.431) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 52-3 (.945) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters are slugging .262 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Royals are batting .182 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .283 (5,085 PA’s) on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have just 176 strikeouts in 996 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 14 extra-base hits out of 17 total hits (82%) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .784 (1,440 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Twins hitters have 1,987 strikeouts in 8,086 PA’s (25%) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,388 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have walked 7 of 43 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 305 of 4,394 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 748 of 10,422 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 64 of 1,057 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Twins vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
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