- The Twins are -175 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-175) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Royals are 34-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 25-27 ATS.
Royals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 4-1, 2.72 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 3-3, 3.17 ERA
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -110 | +145 |
| Twins | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -110 | -175 |
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 32 games (+21.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+21.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+19.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 42 games (+18.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+15.75 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 26 games (+19.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+18.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.39 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 63% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.39 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 30 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 35-19 against the Run Line (+12.79 Units / 16.93% ROI).
- 34-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.45 Units / 24.1% ROI
- 22-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -16.98% ROI
- 29-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 8.05% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 25-27 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -5.54% ROI).
- 28-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -3.59% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -8.15% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.54% ROI
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has walked 29 of 213 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed an OBP of just .186 (43 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (10/25) against Alec Marsh on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of just .241 (26 Total Bases / 108 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .390 — 97th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed a .491 SLG vs right-handed batters (fifth worst)– sixth Percentile and just .270 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed an OBP of just .083 (48 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed an OPS of just .168 (48 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .654 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (23/84) against Joe Ryan this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 15-88 (.146) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 23-49 (.319) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Royals are just 62-125 (.332) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are 22-69 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 162-4 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 16-81 (.165) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .283 (3,900 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals are batting .318 against LHP this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .649 (3,900 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (227 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Twins are batting just .284 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Twins hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Royals pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Royals have won just 22% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 130 of 1,934 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 573 of 7,962 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 128 of 1,917 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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